Friday, June 10, 2016

Copa America Group Stage Qualification Permutations

The top two teams in each group will qualify for the quarterfinals of the Copa America Centenario.

In the event of teams being level on points, the tiebreakers are as follows:

1) Total goal difference in the group
2) Total goals scored in the group
3) Result between the teams
4) Drawing of lots

GROUP A

Colombia: Has already qualified for the quarterfinals and will take top spot if United States does not beat Paraguay in the first game of the day. If United States beats Paraguay, then Colombia must take at least a point against Costa Rica to finish top. This could be important in avoiding a meeting with Brazil in Seattle (winner of Group A plays the runner-up for Group B).

United States: Must beat Paraguay to ensure its is in the quarterfinals. However, a point will almost certainly be enough as Costa Rica would need to beat Colombia by a minimum of six goals to overtake the U.S. on goal difference if level on points.

Paraguay: Must beat United States to go into second place, and then hope Costa Rica does not win big vs. Colombia.

Costa Rica: Firstly, it will be eliminated if United States beats Paraguay. If United States draws, Costa Rica must beat Colombia by at least six goals. If Paraguay beats United States, then Costa Rica would need to win by at least four goals (if Paraguay wins by one goal). If Costa Rica and Paraguay were to finish with identical points and goal difference, lots will be drawn for second place (group game was 0-0).

GROUP B

Brazil: Will already be through if Ecuador has not beaten Haiti. If Ecuador wins against Haiti, then Brazil needs a point against Peru to go through due to its superior goal difference with their opponents. If Ecuador has beaten Haiti by at least six goals, then Dunga’s team could need to win the game to finish first. Brazil can only be eliminated if it loses to Peru and Ecuador beats Haiti.

Peru: Again, it will already be through if Ecuador has not won against Haiti. If Ecuador beats Haiti by two or more goals, then Peru must beat Brazil to qualify. If Ecuador beats Haiti by one goal, and Peru draws, then points and goal difference will be level — it will then come down to goals scored and if that is still level second place would be decided by a drawing of lots as the group game between the two nations finished 2-2. A win for Peru would guarantee a place in the final eight no matter score Ecuador wins by.

Ecuador: Must beat Haiti in the first game of the day, and will be guaranteed to progress if it wins by two goals. If it wins by one goal, then it must hope there is a winner between Brazil and Peru to be sure of going through, otherwise it could end up in a drawing of lots (see above).

Haiti: Has been eliminated.

GROUP C

Mexico: Already through, and needs a point against Venezuela to secure top spot and avoid a likely quarterfinal date with Argentina (winner of Group C plays the runner-up of Group D)

Venezuela: Has qualified, but must beat Mexico to win the group.

Uruguay: Has been eliminated.

Jamaica: Has been eliminated.

Kindly drop your comments below.

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